Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Les Sables d'Olonne, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Manon Leonard		Raluca Georgiana Serban

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.48	2.50	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.47	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.66)	2.45 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manon Leonard
61.9%

Raluca Georgiana Serban
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manon Leonard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manon Leonard's performance.

Raluca Georgiana Serban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raluca Georgiana Serban might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manon Leonard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raluca Georgiana Serban than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raluca Georgiana Serban could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Manon Leonard - Raluca Georgiana Serban Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Leonard is ranked WTA: 238. Serban is ranked WTA: 244.

In recent matches, Leonard has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Serban's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Serban may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leonard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Manon Leonard - Ekaterina Kazionova	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Veronika Podrez - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Jeline Vandromme - Manon Leonard	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Oceane Babel - Manon Leonard	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Cagla Buyukakcay - Manon Leonard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWL
- Raluca Georgiana Serban
WTA Cluj Napoca
31.01.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.01.26	Lina Gjorcheska - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Ariana Arseneault - Raluca Georgiana Serban	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Oceane Dodin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.12.23	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Manon Leonard	2:0

Upcoming Matches