Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Marat Sharipov		Adria Soriano Barrera

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.92
	1.39	2.71	Watch
			Watch
	1.37	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	2.86 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marat Sharipov
67.3%

Adria Soriano Barrera
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marat Sharipov's performance.

Adria Soriano Barrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adria Soriano Barrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marat Sharipov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adria Soriano Barrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marat Sharipov - Adria Soriano Barrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sharipov is ranked ATP: 281. Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 336.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Soriano Barrera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sharipov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Marat Sharipov - Xiaofei Wang	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Akira Santillan - Marat Sharipov	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Jaden Dewandaka Tan - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Christopher OConnell - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Adria Soriano Barrera
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Ray Ho - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Alex Molcan - Adria Soriano Barrera	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Lukas Klein - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.08.25	Harold Mayot - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Adria Soriano Barrera	Huesler M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 W?WL?

Marat Sharipov - Adria Soriano Barrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide