Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota (USA), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Snyder I. (Usa)


	Marc Polmans		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	2	1.84
	2.01	1.85
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	1.97	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
47.7%

Calvin Hemery
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Marc Polmans - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Hemery will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hemery: 35% – 88%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Hemery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Felix Corwin - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Marc Polmans - Skander Mansouri	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Marc Polmans - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Marc Polmans - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.24	David Goffin - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Calvin Hemery - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
19.03.24	Calvin Hemery - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLL

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