Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Antalya 6, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Marcel Zielinski		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	2.49	1.51
	2.42	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.42)	1.48 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcel Zielinski
37.5%

Andrey Chepelev
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcel Zielinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Marcel Zielinski - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zielinski is ranked ATP: 718. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 474.

Recent performances by Zielinski have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chepelev is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chepelev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chepelev might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Chepelev will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Stefan Popovic - Marcel Zielinski	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Michel Hopp - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Marcel Zielinski - Stefan Popovic	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Marcel Zielinski - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Jeremy Gschwendtner - Marcel Zielinski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Marko Maksimovic - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Stefan Adrian Andreescu - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	John Hallquist Lithen - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Daniel Uta - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

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