Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lodz, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lodz 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marcello Serafini		Leonardo Rossi

	1	2
	2.10	1.64
	2.03	1.81
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.01	1.78
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.8)	1.74 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcello Serafini
46.2%

Leonardo Rossi
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcello Serafini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcello Serafini's performance.

Leonardo Rossi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leonardo Rossi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcello Serafini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonardo Rossi than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonardo Rossi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marcello Serafini - Leonardo Rossi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Serafini is ranked ATP: 1114. Rossi is ranked ATP: 607.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Rossi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rossi might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcello Serafini
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Giovanni Oradini - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Louis Larue - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Marcello Serafini - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Marcello Serafini - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Manuel Mazza - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWWLW
- Leonardo Rossi
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Leonardo Rossi - Daniel Siniakov	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Leonardo Rossi - Arian Barbic	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Joaquin Guilleme - Leonardo Rossi	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Moritz Kudernatsch - Leonardo Rossi	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Jules Leroux - Leonardo Rossi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW

Marcello Serafini - Leonardo Rossi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Marcello Serafini - Leonardo Rossi Predictions

Preview

Form

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