Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Referee: Germani A. (Ita)


	Marcello Serafini		Riccardo Bonadio

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.44
	2.7	1.45
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.24)	1.44 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcello Serafini
35.3%

Riccardo Bonadio
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcello Serafini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcello Serafini's form might have worsened.

Riccardo Bonadio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riccardo Bonadio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcello Serafini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riccardo Bonadio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marcello Serafini - Riccardo Bonadio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Serafini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bonadio will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcello Serafini
ATP Challenger
25.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
22.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Massimo Giunta	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Javier Barranco Cosano - Marcello Serafini	Barranco Cosano J. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.24	Massimo Giunta - Marcello Serafini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWW?L
- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
24.05.24	Elmer Moeller - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1 ✺
23.05.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
22.05.24	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
20.05.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Hazem Naw	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Michael Vrbensky - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL

Marcello Serafini - Riccardo Bonadio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide