Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.54	2.33	Watch
	1.6	2.37
	1.56	2.34	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.95)	2.35 ↑ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
60.2%

Damir Dzumhur
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco Trungelliti's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	0%	17.2%

Marco Trungelliti - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: Marco Trungelliti will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 140. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 88.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Dzumhur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trungelliti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
24.01.25	Marco Trungelliti - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
23.01.25	Marco Trungelliti - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.12.24	Marco Trungelliti - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL
- Damir Dzumhur
Davis Cup World Group I
01.02.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Sergey Fomin - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Damir Dzumhur - Aleksandar Vukic	2:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
04.01.25	James McCabe - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.12.24	Damir Dzumhur - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
13.01.22	Marco Trungelliti - Damir Dzumhur	2:1

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