Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Baku 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Marcus Walters		James Connel

	1	2
	2.40	1.48
	2.50	1.46
	2.39	1.49	Watch
	2.56	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.1)	1.47 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcus Walters
37.3%

James Connel
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcus Walters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcus Walters's performance.

James Connel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Connel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcus Walters than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcus Walters that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Connel than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Connel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marcus Walters - James Connel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Walters (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Walters (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Walters is ranked ATP: 928., and Connel is ranked ATP: 1186..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Connel holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcus Walters
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Marcus Walters - Koray Kirci	Kirci K. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Marcus Walters - Evangelos Kypriotis	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Digvijay Pratap Singh - Marcus Walters	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Volodymyr Iakubenko - Marcus Walters	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Marcus Walters - Millen Hurrion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLWL
- James Connel
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	James Connel - Nicolas Jadoun	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	James Connel - Ivan Gretskiy	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Arvid Nordquist - James Connel	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Louis Larue - James Connel	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Damien Salvestre - James Connel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

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