Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 20, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday


	Maria Fernanda Navarro		Kristina Penickova

	1	2
	3.5	1.25
	3.99	1.23
	3.81	1.24	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.46	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.47)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Fernanda Navarro
25.6%

Kristina Penickova
74.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Fernanda Navarro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Kristina Penickova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Fernanda Navarro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristina Penickova than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Maria Fernanda Navarro - Kristina Penickova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navarro is ranked WTA: 913. Penickova is ranked WTA: 946.

Recent performances by Navarro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Penickova is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Navarro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Penickova is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Fernanda Navarro
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Alyssa Reguer - Maria Fernanda Navarro	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Maria Fernanda Navarro - Lina Soussi	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Ines Murta - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Alina Granwehr - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Maria Fernanda Navarro - Maelys Bougrat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW
- Kristina Penickova
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Kristina Penickova - Marie Villet	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Coco Bosman - Kristina Penickova	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Laia Petretic - Kristina Penickova	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Victoria Milovanova - Kristina Penickova	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Ksenia Smirnova - Kristina Penickova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

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