Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Sao Paulo 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Maria Florencia Urrutia		Lara Julieta Estable

	1	2
	1.4	2.7
	1.39	2.91
	1.41	2.80	Watch
	1.41	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.69)	2.79 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Florencia Urrutia
66.5%

Lara Julieta Estable
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Florencia Urrutia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Florencia Urrutia's performance.

Lara Julieta Estable has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lara Julieta Estable might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Florencia Urrutia than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Florencia Urrutia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lara Julieta Estable than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lara Julieta Estable could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Maria Florencia Urrutia - Lara Julieta Estable Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Urrutia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Estable will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Urrutia (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Urrutia is ranked WTA: 710. Estable is ranked WTA: 524.

Urrutia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Estable's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Urrutia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Urrutia will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Florencia Urrutia
ITF Tournaments
18.07.25	Xiaodi You - Maria Florencia Urrutia	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Ana Candiotto	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Vicky Van De Peer - Maria Florencia Urrutia	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Martina Capurro Taborda	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Carolina Xavier Laydner - Maria Florencia Urrutia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWW
- Lara Julieta Estable
ITF Tournaments
18.07.25	Lara Julieta Estable - Luiza Fullana	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Lara Julieta Estable - Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Lara Julieta Estable - Luana Plaza Araujo	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Lara Julieta Estable - Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Lara Julieta Estable	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

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