Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Castellon, clay - Final

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Castellon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Maria Garcia Cid		Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

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Maria Garcia Cid
28.6%

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
71.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Garcia Cid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Garcia Cid's form might have worsened.

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Garcia Cid than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (-1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Garcia Cid is ranked WTA: 1222. Steur is ranked WTA: 441.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, Steur is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Garcia Cid
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Maria Garcia Cid	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Maria Garcia Cid - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Sara Dols - Maria Garcia Cid	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Maria Garcia Cid - Mila Masic	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Maria Garcia Cid - Enola Chiesa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWL
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Shannon Lam - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Neus Torner Sensano - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Oceane Babel - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Celia Anson Sanchez - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Neus Torner Sensano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Maria Garcia Cid - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur