Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kursumlijska Banja 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Maria Herazo Gonzalez		Mercedes Aristegui

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Maria Herazo Gonzalez
56.8%

Mercedes Aristegui
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Herazo Gonzalez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Mercedes Aristegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Herazo Gonzalez than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes Aristegui than the current prediction. (+4%)

#ad

Herazo Gonzalez is ranked WTA: 691. Aristegui is ranked WTA: 897.

Herazo Gonzalez has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aristegui has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Herazo Gonzalez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Herazo Gonzalez
ITF Tournaments
29.04.25	Natalija Senic - Maria Herazo Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Anna Petkovic	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Amarissa Kiara Toth	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Erika Bosaia	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Denislava Glushkova - Maria Herazo Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Mercedes Aristegui
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Saoirse Breen - Mercedes Aristegui	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Mercedes Aristegui - Carolina Kuhl	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Anastasia Mozgaleva - Mercedes Aristegui	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Mercedes Aristegui - Jessica Bertoldo	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Mercedes Aristegui - Alexandra Vasilyeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWLW

Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Mercedes Aristegui