Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Maanshan 4, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maanshan 4 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Maria Kalyakina		Chengyiyi Yuan

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Maria Kalyakina
48.5%

Chengyiyi Yuan
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Chengyiyi Yuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengyiyi Yuan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 629. Yuan is ranked WTA: 520.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Yuan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Maria Kalyakina - Meiling Wang	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Maria Kalyakina - Anastasiia Gureva	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Maria Kalyakina - Eva Marie Desvignes	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Maria Kalyakina - Hyeongju Han	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Maria Kalyakina - Hina Inoue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL
- Chengyiyi Yuan
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Junlu Sun - Chengyiyi Yuan	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Yu Jin Ahn - Chengyiyi Yuan	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Chengyiyi Yuan - Han Shi	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Chengyiyi Yuan - Sara Saito	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Chengyiyi Yuan - Meiqi Guo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWLLL

Maria Kalyakina - Chengyiyi Yuan