Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Sharm ElSheikh 9 (Egypt), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Maria Kalyakina		Sofia Shapatava

	1	2
	2.72	1.37	Watch
	2.81	1.39	Watch
	2.87	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.44)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Kalyakina
33%

Sofia Shapatava
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sofia Shapatava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Shapatava than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Maria Kalyakina - Sofia Shapatava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 741. Shapatava is ranked WTA: 462.

Recent matches Kalyakina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shapatava is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kalyakina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shapatava will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Shapatava to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Isabella Shinikova - Maria Kalyakina	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Iveta Dapkute - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Maria Kalyakina - Rinon Okuwaki	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Sara Daavettila - Maria Kalyakina	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Maria Kalyakina - Marie Villet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW
- Sofia Shapatava
ITF Tournaments
23.03.25	Isabella Shinikova - Sofia Shapatava	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Abdel Aziz Lamis Alhussein - Sofia Shapatava	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Vlada Zvereva - Sofia Shapatava	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Daniela Piani - Sofia Shapatava	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Victoria Allen - Sofia Shapatava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW

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