Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hong Kong 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hong Kong 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Maria Kalyakina		Yui Chikaraishi

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Maria Kalyakina
67.4%

Yui Chikaraishi
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Kalyakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Yui Chikaraishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yui Chikaraishi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 753. Chikaraishi is ranked WTA: 1031.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Chikaraishi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kalyakina is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Annabele Xu - Maria Kalyakina	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Eva Marie Desvignes - Maria Kalyakina	Desvignes E. M. retired ✺
04.06.25	Maria Kalyakina - Julia Khramtsova	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Maria Kalyakina - Ilay Yoruk	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Maria Kalyakina - Yuna Ohashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 L?LLW
- Yui Chikaraishi
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Yui Chikaraishi - Boyoung Jeong	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Nagi Hanatani - Yui Chikaraishi	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Yui Chikaraishi - Honoka Kobayashi	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Hwui Won Wi - Yui Chikaraishi	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Yui Chikaraishi - Mio Mushika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Maria Kalyakina - Yui Chikaraishi