Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Poncho A. (Esp)


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Astra Sharma

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.68	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.15
	1.73	2.15
	1.67	2.1
	1.63	2.21	Watch
	1.63	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.49)	2.15 ↓ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
56.2%

Astra Sharma
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Lourdes Carle's form might have worsened.

Astra Sharma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astra Sharma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astra Sharma than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astra Sharma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Astra Sharma Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Sharma will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carle: 56.3% – 96.7%.

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Preview

Carle in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Sharma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sharma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carle will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Carle to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Madrid
22.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Taylah Preston	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
12.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Daniela Seguel	2:1 ✺
11.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Vanesa Suarez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Rebeka Masarova - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Dalma Galfi	Galfi D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWW?
- Astra Sharma
WTA Madrid
22.04.24	Astra Sharma - Katie Volynets	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Astra Sharma	Pera B. retired ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.24	Astra Sharma - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
03.04.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Astra Sharma	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Arina Rodionova - Astra Sharma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 W?LWW

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