Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Barbora Palicova

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.60
	1.42	2.55
	1.49	2.76
	1.41	2.74	Watch
	1.46	2.65
	1.78	1.88	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.36)	2.55 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
63.1%

Barbora Palicova
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Barbora Palicova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbora Palicova than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barbora Palicova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maria Lourdes Carle - Barbora Palicova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 218. Palicova is ranked WTA: 322.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Palicova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Anna Blinkova - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Lisa Pigato - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Dalila Jakupovic - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW
- Barbora Palicova
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Martina Colmegna - Barbora Palicova	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Barbora Palicova - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Amandine Hesse - Barbora Palicova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Weronika Ewald - Barbora Palicova	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Barbora Palicova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.05.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Barbora Palicova	0:2
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Barbora Palicova	2:0
01.04.25	Barbora Palicova - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2

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