Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Louisa Chirico

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.75
	1.24	3.65	Watch
			Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.27	3.8	Watch
	1.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	3.66 ↑ (3.06)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
74.4%

Louisa Chirico
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Louisa Chirico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisa Chirico than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Louisa Chirico Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Maria Lourdes Carle will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 124. Chirico is ranked WTA: 176.

Carle is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chirico's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chirico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carle is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
23.05.25	Justina Mikulskyte - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Eleejah Inisan - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW
- Louisa Chirico
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Louisa Chirico - Charo Esquiva Banuls	2:1 ✺
05.06.25	Maya Joint - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Tamara Zidansek - Louisa Chirico	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.25	Louisa Chirico - Tamara Korpatsch	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Varvara Gracheva - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Louisa Chirico - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0

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