Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W40 PAZARDZHIK (BULGARIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: PAZARDZHIK (BULGARIA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Mia Ristic

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Maria Lourdes Carle
62.6%

Mia Ristic
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Lourdes Carle's performance.

Mia Ristic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mia Ristic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Lourdes Carle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mia Ristic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Carle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ristic is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carle will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Aleksandra Krunic	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Gabriela Lee	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.23	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Patricia Maria Tig - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW
- Mia Ristic
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Dejana Radanovic - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Anastasia Gasanova - Mia Ristic	1:2 ✺
14.09.23	Leolia Jeanjean - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Amelie Van Impe - Mia Ristic	1:2 ✺
29.08.23	Mia Ristic - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Julia Grabher	✺

Maria Lourdes Carle - Mia Ristic