Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Baza, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Maria Martinez Vaquero		Marina Bassols Ribera

	1	2
			Watch
	4	1.2	Watch
	4.45	1.18
	7.64	1.05	Watch
	4.53	1.17	Watch
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (3.47)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Martinez Vaquero
19.7%

Marina Bassols Ribera
80.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Martinez Vaquero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Martinez Vaquero's form might have worsened.

Marina Bassols Ribera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marina Bassols Ribera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Martinez Vaquero than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Martinez Vaquero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marina Bassols Ribera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maria Martinez Vaquero - Marina Bassols Ribera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martinez Vaquero is ranked WTA: 613. Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 273.

Martinez Vaquero is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bassols Ribera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Martinez Vaquero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bassols Ribera is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Martinez Vaquero
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Mingge Xu - Maria Martinez Vaquero	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Kaitlin Quevedo	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Maria Martinez Vaquero	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Marina Bassols Ribera
ITF Tournaments
27.09.25	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Angela Fita Boluda	Fita Boluda A. retired ✺
25.09.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Paula Cembranos	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Celia Anson Sanchez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Carson Branstine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 L?WWL

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