Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Spring, TX (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	Maria Mateas		Hanna Chang

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.74
	2.06	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.95	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.07)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Mateas
46.5%

Hanna Chang
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Mateas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Hanna Chang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Mateas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Maria Mateas - Hanna Chang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mateas is ranked WTA: 248. Chang is ranked WTA: 190.

Mateas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chang is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mateas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Mateas
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Maria Mateas - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.01.25	Maria Mateas - Whitney Osuigwe	0:2 ✺
17.01.25	Maria Mateas - Linda Klimovicova	0:2 ✺
16.01.25	Maria Mateas - Laura Heutschi	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Mariia Tkacheva - Maria Mateas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Hanna Chang
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Hanna Chang - Maya Joint	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.02.25	Eva Vedder - Hanna Chang	Chang H. retired ✺
31.01.25	Hanna Chang - Emiliana Arango	2:1 ✺
30.01.25	Hanna Chang - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Hanna Chang - Darja Vidmanova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.05.24	Hanna Chang - Maria Mateas	2:1
26.07.22	Maria Mateas - Hanna Chang	0:2

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