Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Maria Sakkari		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.24	1.32	Watch
	3.53	1.34
	4.35	1.22	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.31	1.34	Watch
	2.7	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.77)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sakkari
28.5%

Jessica Pegula
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jessica Pegula will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakkari is ranked WTA: 72. Pegula is ranked WTA: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 1.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pegula is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sakkari
WTA Montreal
28.07.25	Maria Sakkari - Carson Branstine	2:1 ✺
WTA Washington
25.07.25	Emma Raducanu - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Maria Sakkari - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Maria Sakkari - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.25	Maria Sakkari - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWL
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Washington
24.07.25	Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.25	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
28.06.25	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
27.06.25	Jessica Pegula - Linda Noskova	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Jessica Pegula - Emma Navarro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
07.01.25	Jessica Pegula - Maria Sakkari	2:0
WTA Finals
02.11.23	Jessica Pegula - Maria Sakkari	2:0
WTA Tokyo
30.09.23	Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Washington
05.08.23	Jessica Pegula - Maria Sakkari	1:2
WTA Doha
17.02.23	Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula	1:2
WTA Finals
31.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Maria Sakkari	0:2
WTA Guadalajara 2
23.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Maria Sakkari	2:0

Maria Sakkari - Jessica Pegula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide