Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Chiasso, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Maria Timofeeva		Alice Rame

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.29	3.67
	1.25	3.54	Watch
	1.22	3.6
	1.26	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	3.5 ↑ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Timofeeva
73.5%

Alice Rame
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Alice Rame has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Timofeeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Rame than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alice Rame could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maria Timofeeva - Alice Rame Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 154. Rame is ranked WTA: 200.

Timofeeva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rame has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rame may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Timofeeva is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Timofeeva
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Susan Bandecchi	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Jennifer Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1 ✺
WTA Rouen
13.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Chloe Paquet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Alice Rame
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Alice Rame - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Alice Rame - Aurora Zantedeschi	Zantedeschi A. Retired ✺
21.04.26	Alice Rame - Noelia Manta	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Claire Liu - Alice Rame	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Alice Rame - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 W?WLL

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