Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Chiasso, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Maria Timofeeva		Jennifer Ruggeri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3	Watch
	1.42	2.9
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.36	2.75
	1.37	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)	2.84 ↓ (3.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Timofeeva
67.3%

Jennifer Ruggeri
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Timofeeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Jennifer Ruggeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jennifer Ruggeri than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Maria Timofeeva - Jennifer Ruggeri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 154. Ruggeri is ranked WTA: 266.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ruggeri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Timofeeva is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Timofeeva
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1 ✺
WTA Rouen
13.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Chloe Paquet	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Yaroslava Bartashevich	2:0 ✺
WTA Linz
06.04.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Maria Timofeeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL
- Jennifer Ruggeri
ITF Tournaments
21.04.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Jennifer Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Julie Pastikova - Jennifer Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Ania Hertel - Jennifer Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Jennifer Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

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