Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Canberra (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday


	Maria Timofeeva		Aoi Ito

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.91	1.85
	1.87	1.84	Watch
	1.93	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	1.87	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.29)	1.86 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Timofeeva
49.6%

Aoi Ito
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Timofeeva's performance.

Aoi Ito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aoi Ito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Timofeeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aoi Ito than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aoi Ito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Maria Timofeeva - Aoi Ito Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Timofeeva will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ito will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 138. Ito is ranked WTA: 126.

Recent matches Timofeeva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ito is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ito will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ito to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Timofeeva
ITF Tournaments
09.11.24	Oceane Dodin - Maria Timofeeva	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Maria Timofeeva - Amarni Banks	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Maria Timofeeva - Ekaterina Maklakova	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Maria Timofeeva - Kaitlin Quevedo	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Maria Timofeeva - Renata Jamrichova	Jamrichova R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWL?
- Aoi Ito
ITF Tournaments
28.11.24	Aoi Ito - Hina Inoue	1:2 ✺
27.11.24	Aoi Ito - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Aoi Ito - Mei Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Aoi Ito - Sijia Wei	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Aoi Ito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Maria Timofeeva - Aoi Ito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide