Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Mariam Bolkvadze		Antonia Ruzic

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.55	1.48
	2.37	1.52	Watch
	2.49	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.58	1.49	Watch
	2.37	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.84)	1.52 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariam Bolkvadze
38.6%

Antonia Ruzic
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariam Bolkvadze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariam Bolkvadze's form might have worsened.

Antonia Ruzic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antonia Ruzic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariam Bolkvadze than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariam Bolkvadze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antonia Ruzic than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antonia Ruzic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Mariam Bolkvadze - Antonia Ruzic Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bolkvadze will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Ruzic will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruzic: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolkvadze is ranked WTA: 208. Ruzic is ranked WTA: 142.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ruzic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ruzic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bolkvadze won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Mariam Bolkvadze - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Antonia Ruzic - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariam Bolkvadze
WTA Auckland
28.12.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Jodie Anna Burrage	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.12.24	Viktorija Golubic - Mariam Bolkvadze	2:0 ✺
09.12.24	Patricia Maria Tig - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
04.12.24	Belinda Bencic - Mariam Bolkvadze	2:0 ✺
03.12.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Antonia Ruzic
ATP Challenger
29.12.24	Marina Stakusic - Antonia Ruzic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.11.24	Berfu Cengiz - Antonia Ruzic	Cengiz B. walkover ✺
27.11.24	Freya Christie - Antonia Ruzic	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Tereza Valentova - Antonia Ruzic	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Antonia Ruzic - Dominika Salkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.02.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Antonia Ruzic	2:1
29.11.23	Antonia Ruzic - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2

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