Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Mariam Bolkvadze		Caty McNally

	1	2
	5	1.14	Watch
	4.75	1.15
	4.9	1.14	Watch
	4.73	1.14
			Watch
	5	1.14
	5	1.14	Watch
	4	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (2.65)	1.15 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariam Bolkvadze
19.5%

Caty McNally
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariam Bolkvadze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariam Bolkvadze's form might have worsened.

Caty McNally has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caty McNally's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariam Bolkvadze than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariam Bolkvadze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caty McNally, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Mariam Bolkvadze - Caty McNally Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolkvadze (votes: 2 - 50%). McNally (votes: 2 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Caty McNally will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolkvadze is ranked WTA: 198. McNally is ranked WTA: 208.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, McNally is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariam Bolkvadze
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Mariam Bolkvadze - Ayana Akli	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Mariam Bolkvadze - Monika Ekstrand	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Mariam Bolkvadze - Fiona Crawley	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.25	Celine Naef - Mariam Bolkvadze	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Mariam Bolkvadze - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW
- Caty McNally
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Caty McNally - Darja Vidmanova	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.25	Iga Swiatek - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Caty McNally - Jodie Anna Burrage	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
21.06.25	Caty McNally - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.05.25	Julia Grabher - Caty McNally	McNally C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWL?

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