Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Warsaw (Poland), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Mariam Bolkvadze		Gina Feistel

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.43	2.9
	1.43	2.92	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.44	2.69	Watch
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.85)	2.66 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariam Bolkvadze
64.6%

Gina Feistel
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariam Bolkvadze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariam Bolkvadze's performance.

Gina Feistel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gina Feistel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariam Bolkvadze than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariam Bolkvadze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gina Feistel than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gina Feistel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.7%	0%	3.3%

Mariam Bolkvadze - Gina Feistel Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariam Bolkvadze will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Bolkvadze is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Feistel is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Feistel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bolkvadze will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariam Bolkvadze
ATP Challenger
22.07.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.07.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Gabriela Knutson - Mariam Bolkvadze	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Valeria Savinykh - Mariam Bolkvadze	1:2 ✺
12.07.24	Matilde Jorge - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW
- Gina Feistel
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Gina Feistel - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.07.24	Arantxa Rus - Gina Feistel	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Gina Feistel - Dominika Salkova	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Gina Feistel - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:1 ✺
11.07.24	Gergana Topalova - Gina Feistel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWW

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