Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Dinard, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Marie Vogt		Lisa Claeys

	1	2
	1.16	4.40
	1.21	3.90
	1.19	4.87
	1.18	4.16	Watch
	1.17	4.33
	1.18	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.35)	4.33 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marie Vogt
78.6%

Lisa Claeys
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marie Vogt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marie Vogt's performance.

Lisa Claeys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lisa Claeys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marie Vogt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisa Claeys than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lisa Claeys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marie Vogt - Lisa Claeys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vogt is ranked WTA: 536. Claeys is ranked WTA: 1066.

Vogt is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Claeys is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Claeys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vogt is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Marie Vogt - Mia Slama	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Marie Vogt - Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Marie Vogt - Kaat Coppez	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Radka Zelnickova - Marie Vogt	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Marie Vogt - Pia Lovric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Lisa Claeys
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Tilwith Di Girolami - Lisa Claeys	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Milena Ciocan - Lisa Claeys	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Delia Gaillard - Lisa Claeys	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Lisa Claeys - Irina Balus	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Norina Bak-Szabo - Lisa Claeys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

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