Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Chihuahua (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 November 2024, Wednesday


	Mariia Tkacheva		Hina Inoue

	1	2
	2.02	1.68
	2.04	1.71
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.35)	1.74 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariia Tkacheva
47%

Hina Inoue
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariia Tkacheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariia Tkacheva's performance.

Hina Inoue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hina Inoue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariia Tkacheva than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariia Tkacheva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hina Inoue than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hina Inoue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mariia Tkacheva - Hina Inoue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tkacheva is ranked WTA: 380. Inoue is ranked WTA: 248.

Tkacheva is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Inoue is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tkacheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Inoue will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tkacheva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariia Tkacheva
ITF Tournaments
10.11.24	Antonia Ruzic - Mariia Tkacheva	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Mariia Tkacheva	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Victoria Rodriguez - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Mariia Tkacheva - Hanna Chang	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Mariia Tkacheva - Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- Hina Inoue
WTA Hong Kong
28.10.24	Xiyu Wang - Hina Inoue	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Hina Inoue - Thasaporn Naklo	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Hina Inoue - Ho Ching Wu	Wu Ho C. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.10.24	Hina Inoue - Hong Yi Cody Wong	0:2 ✺
18.10.24	Hina Inoue - Priska Madelyn Nugroho	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.04.24	Hina Inoue - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2
06.04.24	Mariia Tkacheva - Hina Inoue	1:2

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