Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 SHARM ELSHEIKH 17 (EGYPT), HARD - FINAL

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Mariia Tkacheva		Jenny Duerst

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.85	1.85
	2	1.73
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariia Tkacheva
47.8%

Jenny Duerst
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariia Tkacheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Jenny Duerst has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariia Tkacheva than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariia Tkacheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jenny Duerst, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Duerst could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariia Tkacheva
ITF Tournaments
11.11.23	Mariia Tkacheva - Ekaterina Shalimova	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Mariia Tkacheva - Alisa Kummel	2:1 ✺
09.11.23	Katarina Kuzmova - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
08.11.23	Mariia Tkacheva - Vlada Mincheva	2:0 ✺
21.09.23	Mariia Masiianskaia - Mariia Tkacheva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL
- Jenny Duerst
ITF Tournaments
11.11.23	Evgeniya Burdina - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
10.11.23	Annelin Bakker - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Yujin Kim - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
08.11.23	Aminata Sall - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Jenny Duerst - Alexandra Shubladze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

Mariia Tkacheva - Jenny Duerst: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide