Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
			Watch
	2.70	1.40
	2.90	1.38	Watch
	2.82	1.47
	2.92	1.35	Watch
	2.85	1.41
	2.84	1.37	Watch
	2.80	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.5)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
32.9%

Mitchell Krueger
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mitchell Krueger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 602. Krueger is ranked ATP: 354.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Krueger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Krueger could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mitchell Krueger - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ATP Challenger
24.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Richard Mallory	Canceled ✺
23.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Calum Puttergill	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 W?WLL
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
15.07.26	Mark Lajal - Mitchell Krueger	Krueger M. Retired ✺
13.07.26	Mitchell Krueger - Alex Martinez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Mitchell Krueger - Gavin Young	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Mitchell Krueger - Oliver Okonkwo	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Mitchell Krueger - Aleksandar Mitric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?WLWW

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Mitchell Krueger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide