Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart (Germany), clay (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2


	Marketa Vondrousova		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.52	1.58
	2.56	1.58
	2.38	1.57
	2.43	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.78)	1.57 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marketa Vondrousova
39.2%

Aryna Sabalenka
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marketa Vondrousova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marketa Vondrousova than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marketa Vondrousova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aryna Sabalenka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vondrousova will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Sabalenka will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Vondrousova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sabalenka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vondrousova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marketa Vondrousova
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.24	Marketa Vondrousova - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Marketa Vondrousova - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.24	Marta Kostyuk - Marketa Vondrousova	Kostyuk M. walkover ✺
08.03.24	Bernarda Pera - Marketa Vondrousova	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
22.02.24	Marketa Vondrousova - Sorana Cirstea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?WL
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	Badosa P. retired ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
13.03.24	Emma Navarro - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1 ✺
11.03.24	Emma Raducanu - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
05.01.23	Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Australian Open
21.01.22	Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2
WTA Miami
29.03.21	Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Hertogenbosch
12.06.18	Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova	2:1
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.18	Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka	2:0

Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide