Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Turku, hard

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Markus Molder		Arvid Nordquist

	1	2
	1.72	1.98
	1.89	1.81
	1.79	2.05
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.76	2.02
	1.72	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.71)	1.97 (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Markus Molder
52.7%

Arvid Nordquist
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Markus Molder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Arvid Nordquist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Markus Molder than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Markus Molder that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arvid Nordquist than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arvid Nordquist could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Markus Molder - Arvid Nordquist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molder is ranked ATP: 945. Nordquist is ranked ATP: 834.

Molder is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nordquist has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nordquist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Markus Molder
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Emile Hudd - Markus Molder	Molder M. Walkover ✺
11.08.26	Melvin Kumar - Markus Molder	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Markus Molder - Conor Gannon	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Robin Catry - Markus Molder	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Michael Agwi - Markus Molder	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 ?WLWW
- Arvid Nordquist
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Romain Andres - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Stian Klaassen - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Valentin Lapalu - Arvid Nordquist	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Martin Borisiouk - Arvid Nordquist	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Arvid Nordquist - Noritaka Koizumi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Markus Molder - Arvid Nordquist: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide