Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kigali 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marlon Vankan		Maik Steiner

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Marlon Vankan
58.1%

Maik Steiner
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marlon Vankan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Maik Steiner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marlon Vankan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maik Steiner than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Vankan is ranked ATP: 815. Steiner is ranked ATP: 782.

Vankan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Steiner has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vankan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vankan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marlon Vankan
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Claude Ishimwe - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Felix Gill - Marlon Vankan	Vankan M. retired ✺
18.09.25	Marlon Vankan - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Simeon Stankovic - Marlon Vankan	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Stefan Popovic - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 W?WWW
- Maik Steiner
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Dmytro Shirokyi - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Maik Steiner	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Maik Steiner - Daniel Paty	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Rudolf Molleker - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Pawel Juszczak - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

Marlon Vankan - Maik Steiner