Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Heraklion 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Martha Matoula		Tilwith Di Girolami

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.80
	1.46	2.50	Watch
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.42	2.75
	1.41	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.67)	2.68 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martha Matoula
65.5%

Tilwith Di Girolami
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martha Matoula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martha Matoula's performance.

Tilwith Di Girolami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tilwith Di Girolami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martha Matoula than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martha Matoula that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tilwith Di Girolami than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tilwith Di Girolami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Martha Matoula - Tilwith Di Girolami Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matoula is ranked WTA: 290., and Di Girolami is ranked WTA: 596..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Matoula could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Matoula has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Martha Matoula - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.47%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martha Matoula
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Nahia Berecoechea - Martha Matoula	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Veronika Podrez - Martha Matoula	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Mathilde Lollia - Martha Matoula	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Anastasiia Firman - Martha Matoula	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Rada Zolotareva - Martha Matoula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- Tilwith Di Girolami
ITF Tournaments
05.10.26	Sofia Nikolaidou - Tilwith Di Girolami	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Alena Kovackova - Tilwith Di Girolami	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Victoria Pohle - Tilwith Di Girolami	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Ava Schueller - Tilwith Di Girolami	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Loes Ebeling Koning - Tilwith Di Girolami	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.05.22	Tilwith Di Girolami - Martha Matoula	1:2

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