Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Phan Thiet 4 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Martin Borisiouk		Florent Bax

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Martin Borisiouk
44.5%

Florent Bax
55.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Borisiouk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Borisiouk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Borisiouk is ranked ATP: 939. Bax is ranked ATP: 308.

Borisiouk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bax is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Borisiouk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Bax will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Borisiouk
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Dominik Palan - Martin Borisiouk	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Martin Borisiouk - Dong Ju Kim	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Yuta Kawahashi - Martin Borisiouk	Kawahashi Y. Retired ✺
08.09.26	Martin Borisiouk - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Martin Borisiouk - Ethan Cook	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WW?LW
- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Thanh Minh Truong - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Florent Bax - Maximus Jones	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Florent Bax - Moerani Bouzige	Bax F. Retired ✺
03.09.26	Florent Bax - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Florent Bax - Maan Kesharwani	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WL?WW

Martin Borisiouk - Florent Bax