Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Lima 2, clay

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lima 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Martina Colmegna		Lucciana Perez Alarcon

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Martina Colmegna
34.7%

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
65.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martina Colmegna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martina Colmegna than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Colmegna is ranked WTA: 463. Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 401.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Perez Alarcon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Perez Alarcon could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martina Colmegna
ITF Tournaments
11.12.25	Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Catarina Melleiro Ibiraba Melleiro Junior - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.12.25	Martina Colmegna - Oleksandra Oliynykova	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Martina Colmegna - Marie Elise Casares	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Alicia Herrero Linana - Martina Colmegna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLWL
- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
12.12.25	Najah Dawson - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
11.12.25	Isabella Barrera Aguirre - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Leticia Alessia Bazan Bazan - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	Oliynykova O. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWL?

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martina Colmegna
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Tatjana Maria - Martina Colmegna	✺

Martina Colmegna - Lucciana Perez Alarcon