Match Info

Date: 4 March 2021, Thursday


	Marton Fucsovics		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.68	2.1
	1.76	2.19
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	2.17 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marton Fucsovics
56.1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marton Fucsovics that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	0%	32.4%

Marton Fucsovics - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Fucsovics will win (votes: 48 - 67.6%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 23 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fucsovics: 56.7% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player has got a line of lost games.

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Davidovich Fokina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Rotterdam
01.03.21	Marton Fucsovics - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
28.02.21	Marton Fucsovics - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
27.02.21	Marton Fucsovics - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.02.21	Marton Fucsovics - Milos Raonic	1:3 ✺
09.02.21	Stanislas Wawrinka - Marton Fucsovics	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Rotterdam
03.03.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
26.02.21	Egor Gerasimov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
25.02.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
24.02.21	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.02.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWL

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