Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Lopota, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Martyna Kubka		Eva Guerrero Alvarez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.83	2
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.72	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.55)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martyna Kubka
53.2%

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martyna Kubka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martyna Kubka's form might have worsened.

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eva Guerrero Alvarez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martyna Kubka than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Martyna Kubka - Eva Guerrero Alvarez Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kubka will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guerrero Alvarez will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kubka is ranked WTA: 285. Guerrero Alvarez is ranked WTA: 228.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Guerrero Alvarez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kubka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martyna Kubka
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Martyna Kubka - Ekaterina Maklakova	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Martyna Kubka - Aruzhan Sagandikova	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Martyna Kubka - Radka Zelnickova	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Martyna Kubka - Amy Sucha	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Martyna Kubka - Sofia Martianova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWW
- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Kristina Kroitor - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Ani Amiraghyan - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Alicia Dudeney - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Manon Leonard - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Martyna Kubka - Eva Guerrero Alvarez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide