Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Marvin Moeller		Carles Cordoba

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.99
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	1.25	3.4
	1.33	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	3.13 ↑ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
70.3%

Carles Cordoba
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Carles Cordoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marvin Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carles Cordoba than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carles Cordoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marvin Moeller - Carles Cordoba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 394. Cordoba is ranked ATP: 902.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Moeller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moeller is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
27.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Loann Massard	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Niklas Guttau	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Raphael Perot - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Charles Broom - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW
- Carles Cordoba
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Carles Cordoba - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Carles Cordoba	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Carles Cordoba	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Carles Cordoba - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Ryan Nijboer - Carles Cordoba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW

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