Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Amstelveen, clay - Final

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amstelveen 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marvin Moeller		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.7	1.43
	2.73	1.43
			Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.66	1.43	Watch
	2.19	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.19)	1.46 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
36.1%

Lilian Marmousez
63.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marvin Moeller's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Marvin Moeller - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 482. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 452.

In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.

Marmousez could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Marmousez will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moeller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
05.07.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Marvin Moeller - Jarno Jans	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Marvin Moeller - Mika Lipp	Moeller M. walkover ✺
01.07.25	Marvin Moeller - Daniel De Jonge	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Marvin Moeller - Enzo Couacaud	Moeller M. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WW?W?
- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
05.07.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Elgin Khoeblal - Lilian Marmousez	1:2
02.07.25	Mac Visser - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Marvin Moeller - Lilian Marmousez	1:2
12.07.23	Lilian Marmousez - Marvin Moeller	Canceled

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Giovanni Ciocca - Lilian Marmousez	✺

Marvin Moeller - Lilian Marmousez