Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Bonita Springs, FL, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Mary Stoiana		Eva Vedder

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.39	3.08
	1.35	2.93	Watch
	1.33	2.9
	1.34	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	2.87 ↑ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mary Stoiana
67.7%

Eva Vedder
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mary Stoiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mary Stoiana's performance.

Eva Vedder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eva Vedder might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mary Stoiana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Vedder than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eva Vedder could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mary Stoiana - Eva Vedder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stoiana is ranked WTA: 161. Vedder is ranked WTA: 263.

Stoiana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vedder is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stoiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stoiana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stoiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Eva Vedder - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.69%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mary Stoiana
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Olga Govortsova	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Elizabeth Mandlik	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Thea Frodin	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Kayla Day - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL
- Eva Vedder
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Eva Vedder - Barbora Palicova	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Eva Vedder - Amelia Honer	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Eva Vedder - Shilin Xu	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Eva Vedder - Irina Balus	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Eva Vedder - Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.01.25	Mary Stoiana - Eva Vedder	2:1

Mary Stoiana - Eva Vedder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide