Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BURNIE 2 (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 February 2024, Monday


	Masamichi Imamura		Makoto Ochi

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.91
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.59)	1.81 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Masamichi Imamura
48.3%

Makoto Ochi
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Masamichi Imamura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Masamichi Imamura's performance.

Makoto Ochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Makoto Ochi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Masamichi Imamura than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Masamichi Imamura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Makoto Ochi than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Makoto Ochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Masamichi Imamura - Makoto Ochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Imamura will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Ochi will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Imamura: 77.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Imamura is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ochi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ochi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Imamura won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Masamichi Imamura
ATP Challenger
04.02.24	Jacob Bradshaw - Masamichi Imamura	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Masamichi Imamura - Kody Pearson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.01.24	Masamichi Imamura - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
17.01.24	Elliot Benchetrit - Masamichi Imamura	0:2 ✺
16.01.24	Masamichi Imamura - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLWW
- Makoto Ochi
ATP Challenger
28.01.24	Makoto Ochi - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Makoto Ochi - Ramkumar Ramanathan	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Arthur Weber - Makoto Ochi	0:2 ✺
01.01.24	Makoto Ochi - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
31.12.23	Makoto Ochi - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.11.21	Makoto Ochi - Masamichi Imamura	2:0

Masamichi Imamura - Makoto Ochi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide