Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday


	Massimo Giunta		Yaroslav Demin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.54	2.42
	1.46	2.58	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2)	2.33 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Massimo Giunta
60%

Yaroslav Demin
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Massimo Giunta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Massimo Giunta's performance.

Yaroslav Demin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yaroslav Demin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Massimo Giunta than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Massimo Giunta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yaroslav Demin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Massimo Giunta - Yaroslav Demin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giunta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Giunta (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Massimo Giunta will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Giunta (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Preview

Giunta is ranked ATP: 786. Demin is ranked ATP: 726.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Giunta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Massimo Giunta
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Kasra Rahmani - Massimo Giunta	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Matteo Sciahbasi - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Luca Castagnola - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Peter Makk - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Yaroslav Demin	Demin Y. retired ✺
19.08.25	Yaroslav Demin - Alvaro Bueno Gil	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Yaroslav Demin - Sergi Perez Contri	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Yaroslav Demin - Lucca Helguera Casado	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Yaroslav Demin - Giannicola Misasi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ?WLWL

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