Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cuiaba, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday


	Mateus Alves		Nick Hardt

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.18	1.58
	2.43	1.57
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.39)	1.57 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
40.9%

Nick Hardt
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nick Hardt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nick Hardt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mateus Alves - Nick Hardt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 497. Hardt is ranked ATP: 398.

Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.

Alves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hardt might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Hardt will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nick Hardt - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.24%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Mateus Alves - Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Mateus Alves - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Mateus Alves - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Mateus Alves - Herman Hoeyeraal	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Mateus Alves - Ezequiel Monferrer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Nick Hardt
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Salvador Price - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Wilson Leite - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Ryan Colby - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Nick Hardt - Ilyas Milad Fahim	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Nick Hardt - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW

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