Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota (Colombia), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Referee: Campos M. (Bra)


	Mateus Alves		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.24	1.58
	2.34	1.63
	2.3	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.24	1.61	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.43)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
41.5%

Nicolas Mejia
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mateus Alves - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mejia will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mejia: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 356. Mejia is ranked ATP: 260.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Mejia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mejia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Mejia to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alves won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
09.08.24	Mateus Alves - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Benjamin Lock - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
06.08.24	Lorenzo Claverie - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Mateus Alves - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Mateus Alves - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
09.08.24	Dmitry Popko - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
07.08.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
06.08.24	Tristan McCormick - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Nikita Filin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.01.24	Mateus Alves - Nicolas Mejia	2:0

Mateus Alves - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide