Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Piracicaba (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday


	Mateus Alves		Roman Andres Burruchaga

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	3.03	1.4
	2.84	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.89	1.38	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.15)	1.39 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
32.8%

Roman Andres Burruchaga
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateus Alves's form might have worsened.

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Andres Burruchaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Andres Burruchaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Mateus Alves - Roman Andres Burruchaga Predictions

Users Predictions: Roman Andres Burruchaga will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 288. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 152.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burruchaga is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mateus Alves - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
28.01.25	Marco Cecchinato - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
20.01.25	Mateus Alves - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Mateus Alves - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
29.01.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Emilio Nava - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
20.01.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
16.01.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.07.23	Mateus Alves - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2
ITF Tournaments
02.12.22	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mateus Alves	2:0

Mateus Alves - Roman Andres Burruchaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide