Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Marburg (Germany), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday


	Mateus Alves		Saba Purtseladze

	1	2
	1.42	2.6
	1.41	2.65
	1.41	2.81
	1.42	2.68	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.43	2.68	Watch
	1.41	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.68)	2.67 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
65.3%

Saba Purtseladze
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mateus Alves's performance.

Saba Purtseladze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saba Purtseladze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saba Purtseladze than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saba Purtseladze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mateus Alves - Saba Purtseladze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Purtseladze in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Purtseladze could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ITF Tournaments
05.07.24	Timo Stodder - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
04.07.24	Dominik Recek - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
03.07.24	Lambert Ruland - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Matej Dodig - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW
- Saba Purtseladze
ITF Tournaments
05.07.24	Daniel Michalski - Saba Purtseladze	1:2 ✺
04.07.24	Niels Visker - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
03.07.24	Saba Purtseladze - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
27.06.24	Saba Purtseladze - Mariano Dedura-Palomero	Purtseladze S. retired ✺
26.06.24	Saba Purtseladze - Jannik Maute	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWW?W

Mateus Alves - Saba Purtseladze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide