Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.12	1.71
	2.07	1.65
	2.18	1.71
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.69	Watch
	2.16	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.75)	1.69 ↓ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
44.4%

Jelle Sels
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's form might have worsened.

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelle Sels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelle Sels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Sels will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pucinelli De Almeida: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Pucinelli De Almeida is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sels in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sels could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Sels to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pucinelli De Almeida won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
23.09.22	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
22.09.22	Nuno Borges - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
20.09.22	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Jeremy Jahn	2:0 ✺
06.09.22	Terence Atmane - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
01.09.22	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
23.09.22	Jelle Sels - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
23.09.22	Jelle Sels - Goncalo Oliveira	Sels J. walkover ✺
20.09.22	Franco Agamenone - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.22	Jelle Sels - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
16.09.22	Jelle Sels - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.05.22	Jelle Sels - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1
ITF Tournaments
28.05.21	Jelle Sels - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2

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